If you enjoyed last weekends weather, you were not alone! With highs reaching the 60's for the first time this February many folks were buzzing that the end of winter was in sight. Not so fast! An approaching storm from the south will meet up with colder air over North Carolina to bring a rain/snow mix to the Triangle and Virginia border counties for Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. Snow accumulations are expected to be on the light side as grassy areas could receive up to an inch during the evening and overnight Wed. An updated run of Stormcast wants to intensify this storm off the Mid-Atlantic Coast bringing snow to places like Elizabeth City tomorrow night in to Thursday.
Once this system pulls away on Thursday we're looking at a breezy and cold day as highs struggle to reach the low 40's!
As we entered into the month of February nearly two weeks ago we commented on many broadcasts that most of this month was shaping to up to be rather chilly. So far that has been the case for Central and Eastern NC. The warmest day we've had was a balmy 51 on the 3rd at RDU. This prolonged cold snap has been a dominate feature for not only us, but a large part of the Eastern U.S. Snow has been recorded in just about every community in North Carolina at some point this winter! Just last week the Deep South had snow in places like Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. A lot of viewers have been asking if this chilly trend will continue throughout the rest of the month? While long range forecasting can be difficult, it's looking like the second half of February is going to remain below average temperature wise.
The good news is after Monday's expected rain we should see a long stretch of dry weather for the Tar Heel State. One computer model wants to bring a weak system through on or around the 21st. This same model is picking up on what appears to be a potent storm around the 26th. Even though we're counting down the days to the start of spring, it's not time to put away the coats and gloves just yet.
Based on the latest data coming in this afternoon, here's a quick update on the latest thinking for snowfall tonight through early Saturday morning....
Triangle: 1-3" with the lower end to perhaps a dusting around Durham to Chapel Hill and the higher end SE of Raleigh.
Sandhills: 3-4" for an area from Laurinburg to Fayetteville to Goldsboro
Coastal areas: 3-5" just inland from the beaches including Wilmington and Jacksonville. Lower totals right at the immediate coast. There could be a narrow band of heavier snow up to 6" somewhere between Fayetteville in Wilmington. This may come close to areas across Columbus, Bladen, Sampson, and Duplin Counties.
Remember, this is just a forecast. A lot can still change as the storm system continues to evolve. Stay with News 14 Carolina for Weather on the Ones updates through the day and night.
Let us know when you see snow in your area. Send snow totals and pictures to firstname.lastname@example.org.
Snow is back in the forecast for parts of central and eastern North Carolina leading into the weekend. This storm system will be different than most as we expect the highest snow totals to fall along the coast. Look for the snow to begin this evening and continue into early Saturday morning. Sunshine should return by Saturday afternoon.
Latest accumulation forecast
Coastal NC: 2-4" of snow including area around Wilmington, Jacksonville, and Morehead City. Accumulations may be slightly less along the immediate coast. There could also be a narrow band of 4-6" just inland from the coast, but that is not certain at this time.
Sandhills to Goldsboro: 1-3" for areas around Fayetteville to Goldsboro
Triangle to Wilson: Dusting - 2". Durham and Chapel Hill will be on the lower end of that total with no accumulation to a dusting expected. Raleigh may see around 1 to 2 inches with the higher end just southeast of Raleigh.
These forecasted accumulation totals may still change depending on the exact track of low pressure off the southeast coast. Stay tuned to News 14 Carolina and news14.com for the latest updates through the day and night.
High winds knocked down trees and caused power outages across North Carolina on Wednesday and even created blizzard conditions in the mountains. Here's a look at peak wind gusts recorded around the state:
Groundhogs across the country made their forecast for the rest of winter yesterday. The best known groundhog, Punxsutawney Phil from Pennsylvania saw his shadow predicting six more weeks of winter. North Carolina's own Sir Walter Wally did not agree. He did not see his shadow yesterday at the North Carolina Museum of Natural Science and predicted an early spring. After last weekend's winter storm, I have heard from a lot of folks that are hoping "Sir Walter's" forecast is the correct one this year. While he supposedly has a better track record than Punxsutawney Phil, it appears Phil's forecast may be the correct one this year.
The one month outlook from the Climate Prediction Center forecasts calls for February with below normal temperatures and above average precipitation in North Carolina. The main reason for this forecast is the continuation of an El Nino weather pattern that we have experienced since the start of winter. Model trends certainly indicate the first half of February will be on the cold side.
A colder and wetter than normal forecast also brings up the question: Does that mean more snow is on the way? It is certainly possible. On average, North Carolina records more snow in February than in month of the year.
Earlier this week several computer models forecast another winter storm to impact North Carolina this weekend. Forecasts have changed since then and we do not expect this storm to produce winter weather across all of the state like last weekend's storm. However, some parts of the state will see winter precipitation with the best chance for snow and a wintry mix in the mountains Friday and Saturday.
In our part of North Carolina, the precipitation may start early Friday morning as a wintry mix from Raleigh to the north and west. This should be light with a quick changeover to all rain during the day. The wintry mix or freezing rain will last longer Friday morning for locations around the Triad. A cold rain will be the big story for Friday in our area with an inch or more possible through Friday night. Light rain showers may continue into Saturday and could changeover to snow flurries from Raleigh to the north. Precipitation totals after the changeover would be very light with little to no accumulation expected except for a dusting possible north of Raleigh and higher amounts possible into Virginia.
There may be yet another weather system to watch for Tuesday of next week. We'll keep you posted. Stay tuned to News 14 Carolina and news14.com