Monday, August 30, 2010

Hurricane Earl -- Monday Morning Update

Huricane Earl continues to gain strength this morning. As of 1am, the storm has strengthened into a category 3 hurricane. This morning Earl has been pounding the northern Leeward Islands and is moving to the west-northwest. A northwest turn is expected over the next couple of the days as the storm continues to strengthen. Earl could become a category 4 storm by midweek. Most computer models bring the storm very close to the North Carolina coast late Thursday into early Friday. Based on the latest forecast, we would expect the center of Earl to remain offshore, but the outer bands of the storm could impact part of our coastline especially the Outer Banks.

It is important to note the average error in a hurricane track forecast four days away is 200-300 miles. If Earl were to track 200-300 miles west of the current forecast, the storm would have a much greater impact on North Carolina. Earl should still be watched very closely. Coastal residents should begin to make a plan in the event the storm tracks west of the current forecast path.

Stay tuned to News 14 Carolina for the latest on the tropics at :21 and :51 after the hour.

Lee Ringer
News 14 Carolina Meteorologist

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