Saturday, May 10, 2008

Possible Severe Weather once again for Mother's Day

After a relatively quiet start to the weekend (once the severe storms passed through the area late Friday night / Early Saturday) we are monitoring the possibility of another round of severe storms for Sunday.
As of this post, (1pm Saturday) The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of North Carolina in a slight to moderate risk for strong to severe storms for Mother's Day Sunday. The greatest risk appears to be in the southernmost portion of the state near Lumberton to Wilmington. A slight risk is forecast for the Triangle, Sandhills and Down east of I-95.

(Risk for strong to severe storms Saturday into Sunday. This map shows some of southern NC having a change for storms and a slight risk for strong to severe storms for extreme southern NC near Raeford and Lumberton later tonight/ early Sunday)
(This map for Sunday morning through Monday morning shows more of NC in a slight risk area for strong to severe storms, and extreme southern NC in a more moderate risk area for severe weather)
Our main weather threats are expected to be heavy downpours, large hail, frequent lightning, high winds and of course a chance for isolated tornadoes.

Our surface map on Sunday shows a strong area of low pressure approaching NC. What will be key for us will be a couple of things; the timing of the northward progression of a front shown here across South Carolina early Sunday and the development of an area of low pressure (shown here in the next graphic for later Sunday over NC). This development could enhance and direct where we have severe storms for the second half of the weekend. If it develops over central NC, more of the state will see severe weather. If it develops more to the East, the coastal areas will see the brunt of the severe storms.

Stay tuned to your Weather on the Ones Forecast center as we get into Sunday for your latest forecast. Have a safe and happy Mother's Day.
Pati Darak,
News 14 Carolina

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