Friday, October 23, 2009
- 1933: 29.33"
- 1921: 32.09"
- 1976: 33.71"
- 1930: 33.92"
- 1965: 34.42"
- 1940: 34.46"
- 1951: 34.52"
- 2001: 34.78"
- 1991: 35.46"
- 1968: 35.60"
One of the reason's the area is behind normal for rainfall this year is the lack of rainfall from any tropical systems. North Carolina picks up a large amount of its average rainfall during the summer from tropical systems that either directly impact the state or from moisture of remnant tropical systems that may impact southeastern United States. A quiet hurricane season will often lead to a drier than normal summer.
There is some evidence we'll be able to make up some of our over 9" deficit. The 6-10 day precipitation outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts above normal rainfall for North Carolina. The winter outlook from the CPC forecasts near normal precipitation across the southeast. It appears an El Nino weather pattern will impact conditions across the country this winter. Local research from the National Weather Service Office in Raleigh suggests North Carolina typically experiences above normal rainfall during an El Nino winter.
Thanks to the climate team at the National Weather Service Office in Raleigh for providing the information for today's blog post.
Monday, October 19, 2009
- Raleigh-Durham: 34
- Laurinburg: 35
- Southern Pines: 36
- Henderson-Oxford: 37
- Louisburg: 38
- Chapel Hill: 39
- Lumberton: 39
- Wilson: 39
- Elizabethtown: 40
- Goldsboro: 40
- Whiteville: 40
- Fayetteville: 41
- Kenansville: 41
- Smithfield: 41
- Jacksonville: 42
- Wilmington: 42
- New Bern: 43
- Oak Island: 43
- Beaufort: 44
- Havelock: 44
Thursday, October 15, 2009
The outlook calls for a colder than normal winter for North Carolina and much of the southeast....
and near normal preciptation in North Carolina this winter...
Keep in mind this is a forecast that is made several months in advance. In a winter that's on average colder than normal, there could still be period of mild weather. However, this and other long range forecasts have called for a cold winter 2009-2010.
It is really difficult to speculate if that means a snowy winter is on the way as well. Only time well really answer that question. On average, the Triangle sees about 7 inches of snowfall in a winter. Snowfall amounts during a winter can certainly vary though. Some years the area sees no snow at all. Then there was January 2000 when parts of the Triangle had over 20".
Here's when you can meet News 14 Carolina meteorologists at the fair --
- Thursday, October 15 6pm - 9pm: Gary Stephenson
- Friday, October 16 12pm - 3pm: Joshua McKinney
- Saturday, October 17 11am - 2pm: Pati Darak
- Monday, October 19 1pm - 4pm: Lee Ringer
- Tuesday, October 20 1pm - 4pm: Lee Ringer
- Friday, October 23 12pm - 3pm: Joshua McKinney
- Saturday, October 24 9am - 12pm: Gary Stephenson
Wednesday, October 14, 2009
This second image is from the visible satellite of the Carolinas. What we're seeing is exactly what you and I are looking at, just from opposite sides. On the ground we're looking at the belly of a thick blanket of clouds with showers, but from up top we see just how much real estate is being consumed by clouds this Wednesday.
Tuesday, October 13, 2009
What you're seeing here is possible rainfall totals from Wednesday through Friday. There's a good bet the Deep South is looking at another round of flooding from Central Georgia into Northern Mississippi. Specifically for North Carolina the Sandhills to the Coast is in line for the heaviest rain and may receive upwards to an inch or two before weeks end. This will go a long way in denting the drought for the state.
This secondary map gives an indication of afternoon readings we can expect through the second half of the week especially for Friday. If you look at RDU it shows a high in the mid to upper 40s! The last time RDU recorded afternoon highs in the 40s was March 25th of this year. It may not be until early next week before highs return to the low 70s.
Colder air will wedge its way into North Carolina tonight as a Canadian high pressure system builds to the north. At the same time, a wave of low pressure will track across the southeast. Cloudy conditions and rain from that wave of low pressure will overrun the colder air across the Carolinas. Wednesday morning with start with temperatures in the low 50s. As the rain sets in during the day, look for temperatures to drop into the mid to upper 40s in the afternoon across the Triangle and the upper 40s to near 50 in the Sandhills. The coast will gradually warm to near 60 and the low 60s.
The cloudy, cold and wet weather pattern likely won't change much through the rest of the week. Thursday will be cloudy with drizzle with more rain expected Friday. Once temperatures drop into the 40s Wednesday afternoon, they may not climb above the 40s until Saturday afternoon around the Triangle. The Sandhills may see see highs in the low 50s while the coast will be in the 50s for much of the day on Thursday and Friday.
Stay tuned to Weather on the Ones for the most updates on the big weather changes this week.