Parts of the immediate North Carolina coastline should see some light snow today with the best chance coming during the afternoon and evening. As we have discussed here on the blog over the last couple of days, most of the precipitation with this low pressure should stay offshore. However, some precipitation may just graze the coast and that precipitation should fall as snow. Snowfall amounts should be relatively light with anywhere from a trace to 2" possible close to the immediate coast. I would expect the lighter end of that range along the Cape Fear coast (Brunswick, New Hanover, and Pender Counties) with perhaps the higher end of that range along coastal Onslow County, Carteret County, and the southern Outer Banks.
Then our attention turns to next week when several computer models have advertised a winter storm impacting parts of North Carolina from Tuesday into Wednesday. The exact track of this low pressure will determine what parts of the state will see snow and what parts will see rain. Coastal areas will more than likely see mainly rain out of this storm, but the Triangle and Sandhills could fall very close to the rain/snow line. It is still too early to say with any certainty if the Triangle and Sandhills would see mainly snow, mainly rain, or a mix of the two. This morning's hazardous weather outlook from Raleigh's National Weather Service Forecast Office has a good summary of what is possible during that time period:
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN.
..SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF OUR REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT OUR REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE STORM WILL DETERMINE THE PREDOMINATE PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR OUR REGION. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS FOR A STORM TRACK FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS WOULD BRING THE THREAT OF A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO WESTERN AND POSSIBLY CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING MUCH OF THE PIEDMONT.
IF THIS TRACK DEVIATES MORE INLAND... THEN LESS OF A WINTER STORM IMPACT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH MORE RAIN INTO THE PIEDMONT. DETAILS OF THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE STORM CONTINUE TO VARY. IT WILL LIKELY BE MONDAY BEFORE THE FORECAST CAN BE FINE TUNED.
STAY TUNED THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR DETAILS ON A POTENTIAL WINTER STORM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
We'll keep you posted with the latest forecast with our Weather on the Ones updates on News 14 Carolina!
Lee Ringer
News 14 Carolina Meteorologist
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