Monday, January 24, 2011

Rain by Late Tuesday; What about Wednesday?

Low pressure tracking from near the Gulf coast to near the Carolina coast (or just inland from the Carolina coast) will bring mainly rain to our part of North Carolina for Tuesday into Wednesday. Ever since last week, there was a lot of uncertainty on whether or not this storm would produce snow. While this storm will produce mainly rain in our area, there is still the possibility for a change to some snow around the Triangle to the north and west before ending Wednesday afternoon or evening.

Look for rain to spread across the the Sandhills and coastal areas through Tuesday afternoon with the rain reaching the Triangle by late afternoon and evening. A few light showers are possible in eastern North Carolina mainly near the coast Monday night and early Tuesday morning associated with a coastal front, but the higher rain chance will come by late day Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Precipitation will continue through Tuesday night as all rain across the region. A few thunderstorms may develop right along the coast late Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain showers will continue into Wednesday. Locations south and east of Raleigh should see the precipitation end by late afternoon and evening as rain. From the Triangle to the north and west, it is possible the rain could change to snow for ending. A narrow band of heavy wet snow may fall for a couple to a few hours with the passage of an upper level low pressure system. The better chance for this may come just north and west of the Triangle. A slight change in the track in the upper level low could bring some accumulating snow over the Triangle late Wednesday or take it northwest of the Triangle. By tomorrow, we should have a better idea on what areas may see a change over to snow, but we may not be fully certain until the upper low is actually tracking over the Carolinas Wednesday. The best chance to see accumulating snow Wednesday in North Carolina will be in the higher elevations of the mountains.

Fortunately, this system will bring some much needed rain to our area. Much of central and eastern North Carolina should see between 1-2" of rain with some locally heavier amounts possible near the coast.

Stay tuned to News 14 Carolina for the latest updates on the forecast.

Lee Ringer
News 14 Carolina Meteorologist

No comments: