Ask most meteorologists in central North Carolina what's the most difficult thing to forecast in our area, and you'll probably get cold air damming as your answer. We have talked a lot this week about the cool air wedge, or cold air damming, setup for yesterday. Indeed, the cool air wedge developed yesterday. The only problem is it doesn't seem like it wants to go away. Originally, it appeared a warm front would pass through the state overnight giving us a warmer start this morning. As of this blog post just before 10am, that warm front is yet to arrive. In fact, it is still located just inland of the North Carolina coast, so we are stuck in the upper 40s to near 50 with overcast skies and some light mist and drizzle.
The warm front that is along the coast should make some progress our way through the day. Once it passes through your neighborhood, you should see a quick warm up to the upper 60s to possibly even some low 70s south and east of Raleigh. If the front does not move is expected, we could end up with a big forecast bust and temperatures would hold stead near 50 for most of the day.
I am pretty confident that we will eventually see the warm front move through all of our area by tonight giving us a warm start for Saturday. That will set us up for more widespread and heavier rains as a cold front slowly works its away across the state. Much of area could see between 1 and 2 inches of rain. A few of the storms could become strong with damaging winds.
Stay tuned to News 14 Carolina for Weather on the Ones updates into the weekend.