Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Low off NC Coast


The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of low pressure off the North Carolina coast for a slight possibility for weak tropical development. The probability of tropical development is less than 30%, and even if it does develop into a tropical system, it should mainly just impact the Outer Banks with rain showers.

Here's this morning's outlook from the NHC...

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
810 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

CORRECTED TO ADD PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW SHOWERS IS LOCATED ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. WHILE CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM HAS A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE REACHING THE COLDER OCEAN TEMPERATURES NORTH OF THE CAROLINAS. AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH AT 10-15 MPH... THE SYSTEM COULD BRING SOME SHOWERS TO COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA LATER TODAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE... LESS THAN 30 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON... IF NECESSARY... AND AN ADDITIONAL SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 2 PM EDT. SEE LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE PRODUCTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$FORECASTER LANDSEA/FRANKLIN

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